Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 2 de agosto?
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
$27 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$53 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$431 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$102 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$150 Vol.
39%
102-103°F
$11 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$7 Vol.
4%
106-107°F
$57 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$53 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou mais
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,007Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,007Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a Sunday high near 101–102°F in Austin, driven by persistent warm, humid air under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with early-August climatology where average maxima hover near 98–99°F, but recent heat has pushed readings higher. Minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle steering patterns could shift the peak by 1–2°F either way, explaining why market-implied odds sit nearly even between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F brackets. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom or Camp Mabry will determine the exact daily maximum for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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