Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 79°F for Chicago on August 25, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's leading 80-81°F and 78-79°F bins at combined 90% implied probability. These temperatures align with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure, falling slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average due to cooler recent advection. Low precipitation risk and consistent model runs from GFS and others reinforce this range, though minor forecast adjustments could occur with updated morning observations. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 25 de agosto?
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 50%
78-79°F 40%
82-83°F 12%
84-85°F 2%
$10,261 Vol.
$10,261 Vol.
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
50%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 79°F for Chicago on August 25, with mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting the market's leading 80-81°F and 78-79°F bins at combined 90% implied probability. These temperatures align with typical late-summer conditions under stable high pressure, falling slightly below the 81.7°F climatological average due to cooler recent advection. Low precipitation risk and consistent model runs from GFS and others reinforce this range, though minor forecast adjustments could occur with updated morning observations. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Chicago-area stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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