Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Chongqing on June 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below 23 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 53 % implied probability for 23 °C or lower, well beneath the early-June climatological average high of roughly 29–31 °C. Steering flow and moisture advection from a nearby trough favor overcast skies and showers that limit insolation, while ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated guidance through tomorrow morning will refine the exact thermal profile before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 18?
23°C or below 53%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
26°C 8.4%
$32,633 Vol.
$32,633 Vol.
23°C or below
53%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 53%
24°C 26%
25°C 16%
26°C 8.4%
$32,633 Vol.
$32,633 Vol.
23°C or below
53%
24°C
26%
25°C
16%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall across Chongqing on June 18, suppressing daytime heating and keeping maximum temperatures near or below 23 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 53 % implied probability for 23 °C or lower, well beneath the early-June climatological average high of roughly 29–31 °C. Steering flow and moisture advection from a nearby trough favor overcast skies and showers that limit insolation, while ensemble spreads remain modest given the short lead time. Updated guidance through tomorrow morning will refine the exact thermal profile before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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