**Hot, dry conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system are positioning Dallas for a peak temperature near 100°F on August 5, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate a high around 99–101°F, consistent with typical early-August climatology (average daily high near 99°F) and the ongoing heat wave across North Texas. Limited cloud cover, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation chances (under 20–35%) allow strong daytime heating without significant cooling from storms or a frontal passage. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 100–101°F bin because official guidance and recent model runs cluster in this narrow range, with only modest upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or minor model adjustments occur. Lower bins (98–99°F) reflect slight cooling from increasing humidity or timing of the daily maximum, while the small probability on 102–103°F accounts for possible forecast underestimation in a hot, dry airmass. No major changes in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas no dia 5 de agosto?
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
$19,692 Vol.
$19,692 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 55%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
$19,692 Vol.
$19,692 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
55%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Hot, dry conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system are positioning Dallas for a peak temperature near 100°F on August 5, 2026.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts indicate a high around 99–101°F, consistent with typical early-August climatology (average daily high near 99°F) and the ongoing heat wave across North Texas. Limited cloud cover, light southerly flow, and minimal precipitation chances (under 20–35%) allow strong daytime heating without significant cooling from storms or a frontal passage. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 100–101°F bin because official guidance and recent model runs cluster in this narrow range, with only modest upside potential if insolation exceeds expectations or minor model adjustments occur. Lower bins (98–99°F) reflect slight cooling from increasing humidity or timing of the daily maximum, while the small probability on 102–103°F accounts for possible forecast underestimation in a hot, dry airmass. No major changes in steering patterns or moisture are expected before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions