Current forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Karachi on August 6 between 32–34°C, shaped by typical August monsoon dynamics including elevated humidity, potential cloud cover, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit extreme daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal baselines and recent observations showing no major heat anomalies or clear-sky intensification, supporting the market's leading 33°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Traders await the next model updates and official guidance within the 24–48 hour window, as minor shifts in precipitation or wind could adjust the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi no dia 6 de agosto?
33°C 52%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 5%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
52%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 5%
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
31%
33°C
52%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Karachi on August 6 between 32–34°C, shaped by typical August monsoon dynamics including elevated humidity, potential cloud cover, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit extreme daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal baselines and recent observations showing no major heat anomalies or clear-sky intensification, supporting the market's leading 33°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Traders await the next model updates and official guidance within the 24–48 hour window, as minor shifts in precipitation or wind could adjust the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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