Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. With August climatological averages around 31–35°C and limited model spread in the final 24 hours, traders have concentrated probability on 36°C as the most likely official reading. Any slight upward revision in observed data or lingering heat advection could support the smaller 37°C share, while cooler boundary-layer mixing would favor 35°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 5 de agosto?
36°C 75%
37°C 16%
35°C 12%
34°C <1%
NOVO
$29,910 Vol.
NOVO
$29,910 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
12%
36°C
75%
37°C
16%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 75%
37°C 16%
35°C 12%
34°C <1%
NOVO
$29,910 Vol.
NOVO
$29,910 Vol.
5 ago 2026
31°C or below
$961 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$642 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$7,906 Vol.
12%
36°C
$4,743 Vol.
75%
37°C
$3,594 Vol.
16%
38°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$5,474 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. With August climatological averages around 31–35°C and limited model spread in the final 24 hours, traders have concentrated probability on 36°C as the most likely official reading. Any slight upward revision in observed data or lingering heat advection could support the smaller 37°C share, while cooler boundary-layer mixing would favor 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$29,910Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. With August climatological averages around 31–35°C and limited model spread in the final 24 hours, traders have concentrated probability on 36°C as the most likely official reading. Any slight upward revision in observed data or lingering heat advection could support the smaller 37°C share, while cooler boundary-layer mixing would favor 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,910Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a daily maximum near 35–36°C in Madrid on August 5, driven by persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime heating under typical late-summer continental conditions. With August climatological averages around 31–35°C and limited model spread in the final 24 hours, traders have concentrated probability on 36°C as the most likely official reading. Any slight upward revision in observed data or lingering heat advection could support the smaller 37°C share, while cooler boundary-layer mixing would favor 35°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions