Traders have concentrated probability on a 27°C high for Mexico City on August 2, reflecting consensus from short-range models showing peak temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal norm amid the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate, while August’s typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered thunderstorms often limits extremes. Recent forecasts indicate 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, though any delay in convective development could allow brief clearing and a push toward 27–28°C. Historical August averages near 24–25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport provide context, and resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded there. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in moisture or insolation remain the key variables ahead of the observation period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 2 de agosto?
27°C 51%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 6%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
51%
28°C
21%
29°C
2%
30°C ou mais
1%
27°C 51%
28°C 21%
26°C 19%
25°C 6%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
19%
27°C
51%
28°C
21%
29°C
2%
30°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have concentrated probability on a 27°C high for Mexico City on August 2, reflecting consensus from short-range models showing peak temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal norm amid the rainy season. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate, while August’s typical pattern of morning sun followed by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered thunderstorms often limits extremes. Recent forecasts indicate 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and moderate humidity, though any delay in convective development could allow brief clearing and a push toward 27–28°C. Historical August averages near 24–25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport provide context, and resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded there. Updated model runs and any last-minute shifts in moisture or insolation remain the key variables ahead of the observation period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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