Ongoing regional heatwave conditions across northern Shandong, backed by the Shandong Meteorological Observatory’s high-temperature orange warning extending through August 5, position the 36°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 57.5%. Official guidance projects 37–39°C maxima in northern and inland districts of Qingdao, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and low wind speeds that limit mixing. Coastal sea breezes and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% introduce moderation risk for the main urban stations, supporting the substantial 37.5% implied probability on 35°C. Recent model consensus and the multi-day duration of the event have reinforced trader confidence in exceeding 35°C thresholds, though localized variations in station siting could still shift the official daily maximum within the narrow 35–37°C range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 5 de agosto?
36°C ou mais 60%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
32°C <1%
NOVO
$22,753 Vol.
NOVO
$22,753 Vol.
5 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
11%
35°C
32%
36°C ou mais
60%
36°C ou mais 60%
35°C 32%
34°C 11%
32°C <1%
NOVO
$22,753 Vol.
NOVO
$22,753 Vol.
5 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$353 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$788 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,389 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,649 Vol.
11%
35°C
$6,265 Vol.
32%
36°C ou mais
$7,562 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing regional heatwave conditions across northern Shandong, backed by the Shandong Meteorological Observatory’s high-temperature orange warning extending through August 5, position the 36°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 57.5%. Official guidance projects 37–39°C maxima in northern and inland districts of Qingdao, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and low wind speeds that limit mixing. Coastal sea breezes and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% introduce moderation risk for the main urban stations, supporting the substantial 37.5% implied probability on 35°C. Recent model consensus and the multi-day duration of the event have reinforced trader confidence in exceeding 35°C thresholds, though localized variations in station siting could still shift the official daily maximum within the narrow 35–37°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$22,753Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing regional heatwave conditions across northern Shandong, backed by the Shandong Meteorological Observatory’s high-temperature orange warning extending through August 5, position the 36°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 57.5%. Official guidance projects 37–39°C maxima in northern and inland districts of Qingdao, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and low wind speeds that limit mixing. Coastal sea breezes and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% introduce moderation risk for the main urban stations, supporting the substantial 37.5% implied probability on 35°C. Recent model consensus and the multi-day duration of the event have reinforced trader confidence in exceeding 35°C thresholds, though localized variations in station siting could still shift the official daily maximum within the narrow 35–37°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,753Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing regional heatwave conditions across northern Shandong, backed by the Shandong Meteorological Observatory’s high-temperature orange warning extending through August 5, position the 36°C-or-higher outcome as the leading market-implied probability at 57.5%. Official guidance projects 37–39°C maxima in northern and inland districts of Qingdao, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies, and low wind speeds that limit mixing. Coastal sea breezes and typical August humidity levels near 70–80% introduce moderation risk for the main urban stations, supporting the substantial 37.5% implied probability on 35°C. Recent model consensus and the multi-day duration of the event have reinforced trader confidence in exceeding 35°C thresholds, though localized variations in station siting could still shift the official daily maximum within the narrow 35–37°C range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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