Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
20°C a 21°C 100.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
Não
60-61°F
Não
62-63°F
Não
64-65°F
Não
66-67°F
Não
20°C a 21°C
Sim
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78°F ou mais
Não
20°C a 21°C 100.0%
59°F ou menos <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$28,250 Vol.
$28,250 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
$756 Vol.
Não
60-61°F
$510 Vol.
Não
62-63°F
$4,035 Vol.
Não
64-65°F
$1,920 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$4,244 Vol.
Não
20°C a 21°C
$6,585 Vol.
Sim
21-22°C
$4,078 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$2,264 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$1,939 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$1,297 Vol.
Não
78°F ou mais
$623 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$28,250Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,250Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations for San Francisco on August 15 confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 68-69°F, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow off the Pacific kept temperatures well below seasonal inland averages, consistent with the city's climatological pattern of cool summers moderated by the cold California Current. Model consensus from the National Weather Service and NOAA correctly anticipated limited diurnal warming under a stable subtropical ridge with no significant offshore wind or clear-sky heating. The 100% implied probability reflects traders' recognition that recorded station data, rather than forecasts, now determines resolution. Only an unprecedented revision to official measurements or station relocation could alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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