Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 67–69°F in San Francisco on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport shows a normal maximum of 73°F, yet the current pattern features stronger-than-average westerly winds and stratus that cap temperatures in the upper 60s. These conditions align with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, while the secondary 70–71°F outcome at 27% reflects modest uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer erodes. No significant warming trend or offshore flow has emerged in the latest model runs, keeping higher bins below 10% combined.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 15 de agosto?
20°C a 21°C 41%
21-22°C 27%
66-67°F 21%
72-73°F 7%
NOVO
$11,142 Vol.
NOVO
$11,142 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
21%
20°C a 21°C
41%
21-22°C
27%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F ou mais
<1%
20°C a 21°C 41%
21-22°C 27%
66-67°F 21%
72-73°F 7%
NOVO
$11,142 Vol.
NOVO
$11,142 Vol.
15 ago 2026
59°F ou menos
$756 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$510 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,106 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$242 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$776 Vol.
21%
20°C a 21°C
$2,946 Vol.
41%
21-22°C
$1,827 Vol.
27%
72-73°F
$809 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$1,104 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$469 Vol.
<1%
78°F ou mais
$621 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 67–69°F in San Francisco on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport shows a normal maximum of 73°F, yet the current pattern features stronger-than-average westerly winds and stratus that cap temperatures in the upper 60s. These conditions align with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, while the secondary 70–71°F outcome at 27% reflects modest uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer erodes. No significant warming trend or offshore flow has emerged in the latest model runs, keeping higher bins below 10% combined.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$11,142Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 67–69°F in San Francisco on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport shows a normal maximum of 73°F, yet the current pattern features stronger-than-average westerly winds and stratus that cap temperatures in the upper 60s. These conditions align with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, while the secondary 70–71°F outcome at 27% reflects modest uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer erodes. No significant warming trend or offshore flow has emerged in the latest model runs, keeping higher bins below 10% combined.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,142Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to a high near 67–69°F in San Francisco on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport shows a normal maximum of 73°F, yet the current pattern features stronger-than-average westerly winds and stratus that cap temperatures in the upper 60s. These conditions align with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, while the secondary 70–71°F outcome at 27% reflects modest uncertainty in how quickly the marine layer erodes. No significant warming trend or offshore flow has emerged in the latest model runs, keeping higher bins below 10% combined.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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