**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 2 centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the strongest implied probability at 35.5%.** San Francisco’s marine climate, driven by the cold California Current and frequent sea breezes or fog, typically caps August highs near the long-term average of 68–72°F, rarely exceeding 79°F. Early August 2026 appears influenced by a broader California warm spell that has produced sunny conditions and reduced marine-layer influence, supporting modestly elevated coastal temperatures while keeping extremes unlikely. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climatological outlooks indicates daily highs in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s under weak onshore flow, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 74–79°F range. Short-term model runs and observational trends will determine whether any further warming materializes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 2 de agosto?
76-77°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 23%
26,7-27,2°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
<1%
20°C a 21°C
1%
21-22°C
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
24%
26,7-27,2°C
14%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F ou mais
<1%
76-77°F 36%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 23%
26,7-27,2°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
20°C a 21°C
$32 Vol.
1%
21-22°C
$26 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$551 Vol.
23%
76-77°F
$16 Vol.
36%
78-79°F
$126 Vol.
24%
26,7-27,2°C
$279 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$953 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$889 Vol.
1%
86°F ou mais
$961 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 2 centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the strongest implied probability at 35.5%.** San Francisco’s marine climate, driven by the cold California Current and frequent sea breezes or fog, typically caps August highs near the long-term average of 68–72°F, rarely exceeding 79°F. Early August 2026 appears influenced by a broader California warm spell that has produced sunny conditions and reduced marine-layer influence, supporting modestly elevated coastal temperatures while keeping extremes unlikely. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climatological outlooks indicates daily highs in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s under weak onshore flow, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 74–79°F range. Short-term model runs and observational trends will determine whether any further warming materializes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,029Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 2 centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the strongest implied probability at 35.5%.** San Francisco’s marine climate, driven by the cold California Current and frequent sea breezes or fog, typically caps August highs near the long-term average of 68–72°F, rarely exceeding 79°F. Early August 2026 appears influenced by a broader California warm spell that has produced sunny conditions and reduced marine-layer influence, supporting modestly elevated coastal temperatures while keeping extremes unlikely. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climatological outlooks indicates daily highs in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s under weak onshore flow, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 74–79°F range. Short-term model runs and observational trends will determine whether any further warming materializes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,029Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 2 centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the strongest implied probability at 35.5%.** San Francisco’s marine climate, driven by the cold California Current and frequent sea breezes or fog, typically caps August highs near the long-term average of 68–72°F, rarely exceeding 79°F. Early August 2026 appears influenced by a broader California warm spell that has produced sunny conditions and reduced marine-layer influence, supporting modestly elevated coastal temperatures while keeping extremes unlikely. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and climatological outlooks indicates daily highs in the mid-to-upper 60s to low 70s under weak onshore flow, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 74–79°F range. Short-term model runs and observational trends will determine whether any further warming materializes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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