Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 2, 2026, from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes (28°C at 49.5%, 29°C at 26.5%). As the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season peaks, typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and low humidity support efficient daytime heating, while model consensus shows limited variability from steering winds or fronts. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, but current short-range guidance reflects warmer-than-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk, keeping 27–29°C probabilities dominant. Traders appear to price in the narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de agosto?
28°C 47%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
26°C 6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
27%
30°C
4%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 2, 2026, from sources like timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 28–29°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with the market's strong weighting toward those outcomes (28°C at 49.5%, 29°C at 26.5%). As the Southern Hemisphere winter dry season peaks, typical subtropical high-pressure patterns and low humidity support efficient daytime heating, while model consensus shows limited variability from steering winds or fronts. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, but current short-range guidance reflects warmer-than-normal conditions with minimal precipitation risk, keeping 27–29°C probabilities dominant. Traders appear to price in the narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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