Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on August 4, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. August climatology in the region typically features highs near 23–25°C under stable winter high-pressure systems, and recent model guidance plus surface analyses aligned closely with this modest above-average reading without indicating any heat surge. Trader consensus reflects the finality of recorded data from authoritative agencies, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected instrumentation anomaly or a redefinition of the official reporting site could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically remote given established verification protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 4 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,014 Vol.
$27,014 Vol.
4 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$27,014 Vol.
$27,014 Vol.
4 ago 2026
22°C or below
$915 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$901 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,671 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,936 Vol.
100%
27°C
$3,630 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,655 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$612 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on August 4, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. August climatology in the region typically features highs near 23–25°C under stable winter high-pressure systems, and recent model guidance plus surface analyses aligned closely with this modest above-average reading without indicating any heat surge. Trader consensus reflects the finality of recorded data from authoritative agencies, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected instrumentation anomaly or a redefinition of the official reporting site could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically remote given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$27,014Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on August 4, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. August climatology in the region typically features highs near 23–25°C under stable winter high-pressure systems, and recent model guidance plus surface analyses aligned closely with this modest above-average reading without indicating any heat surge. Trader consensus reflects the finality of recorded data from authoritative agencies, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected instrumentation anomaly or a redefinition of the official reporting site could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically remote given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,014Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from São Paulo stations confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on August 4, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. August climatology in the region typically features highs near 23–25°C under stable winter high-pressure systems, and recent model guidance plus surface analyses aligned closely with this modest above-average reading without indicating any heat surge. Trader consensus reflects the finality of recorded data from authoritative agencies, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected instrumentation anomaly or a redefinition of the official reporting site could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically remote given established verification protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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