Recent forecasts from models and INMET monitoring place São Paulo’s June 19 maximum near 23–25 °C under typical austral-winter conditions, with market-implied odds clustering tightly on 24 °C (33.5 %) and 25 °C (29.5 %). The city’s 760 m elevation and shorter winter daylight limit daytime heating, while recent cold-front passages earlier in June have maintained below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any residual frontal moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects captured by official INMET stations; stronger insolation or clearer skies would favor the upper end of the range, whereas lingering low-level stratus would cap readings closer to 23 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 19 de junho?
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
23°C 16%
22°C 4%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
1%
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
23°C 16%
22°C 4%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and INMET monitoring place São Paulo’s June 19 maximum near 23–25 °C under typical austral-winter conditions, with market-implied odds clustering tightly on 24 °C (33.5 %) and 25 °C (29.5 %). The city’s 760 m elevation and shorter winter daylight limit daytime heating, while recent cold-front passages earlier in June have maintained below-normal temperatures and variable cloud cover that can suppress or enhance the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on the exact timing of any residual frontal moisture, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects captured by official INMET stations; stronger insolation or clearer skies would favor the upper end of the range, whereas lingering low-level stratus would cap readings closer to 23 °C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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