Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, AccuWeather, and Timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on August 22, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus favoring 33°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for slight warming from regional heat advection, and historical variability around the 30–31°C August average high. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited intensification signals, while cooler outcomes remain possible if coastal sea breezes strengthen. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 22 de agosto?
33°C 63%
32°C 28%
34°C 11%
30°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
28%
33°C
63%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
32°C 28%
34°C 11%
30°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
28%
33°C
63%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service, AccuWeather, and Timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on August 22, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring clear skies, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus favoring 33°C as the leading outcome reflects model uncertainty ranges, potential for slight warming from regional heat advection, and historical variability around the 30–31°C August average high. Lower probabilities for 34°C or above align with limited intensification signals, while cooler outcomes remain possible if coastal sea breezes strengthen. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely drive any shifts in implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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