Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 25°C (35%) and 26°C (41%). Subtle differences in the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or lingering cloud could easily shift the peak by 1°C, while the broader warm air mass supports limited upside risk to 27°C. Historical August highs average 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes outside the narrow 24–27°C band ahead of the final forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 20 de agosto?
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
36%
26°C
42%
27°C
15%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 36%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
3%
24°C
$52 Vol.
7%
25°C
$19 Vol.
36%
26°C
$299 Vol.
42%
27°C
$60 Vol.
15%
28°C
$16 Vol.
3%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 25°C (35%) and 26°C (41%). Subtle differences in the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or lingering cloud could easily shift the peak by 1°C, while the broader warm air mass supports limited upside risk to 27°C. Historical August highs average 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes outside the narrow 24–27°C band ahead of the final forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Volume
$506Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 25°C (35%) and 26°C (41%). Subtle differences in the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or lingering cloud could easily shift the peak by 1°C, while the broader warm air mass supports limited upside risk to 27°C. Historical August highs average 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes outside the narrow 24–27°C band ahead of the final forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$506Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:55 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA points to a daytime maximum near 25°C in Toronto on August 20 under a mix of sun and cloud with a 40% chance of showers, driving the market’s near-even implied probabilities for 25°C (35%) and 26°C (41%). Subtle differences in the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or lingering cloud could easily shift the peak by 1°C, while the broader warm air mass supports limited upside risk to 27°C. Historical August highs average 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign only modest weight to outcomes outside the narrow 24–27°C band ahead of the final forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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