**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.** Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 18 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 18 de agosto?
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou mais
<1%
98-99°F 54%
96-97°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
91°F or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$30 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$153 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$242 Vol.
22%
98-99°F
$315 Vol.
54%
100-101°F
$431 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$170 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$40 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou mais
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.**
Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,511Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.**
Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,511Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Miami's August 18 high temperature centers on 98-99°F as the leading outcome (53.5% implied probability), reflecting model guidance and recent heat trends that exceed the National Weather Service forecast of a sunny high near 95°F.** Persistent high pressure, a dry airmass with Saharan dust, and minimal expected convection favor strong daytime heating above climatological August averages of 89-91°F. Recent days have produced highs of 92-96°F under similar conditions, with limited sea-breeze development allowing fuller insolation. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm timing and steering flow, which could cap peaks or enable readings into the upper 90s. Updated NWS discussions and model runs through the evening of August 17 will likely drive further market adjustments ahead of the observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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