Recent numerical weather model guidance from European centers shows a narrow but uncertain range of maximum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with most ensemble members clustering near 26–28 °C under southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, daytime insolation as high pressure builds, and boundary-layer mixing that could either enhance or suppress peak readings depending on wind speed and residual moisture. Historical September climatology places average highs near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 8 de setembro?
28°C 36%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
26°C 14%
22°C ou menos
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
14%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C ou mais
2%
28°C 36%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
26°C 14%
22°C ou menos
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
14%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance from European centers shows a narrow but uncertain range of maximum temperatures for Warsaw on September 8, with most ensemble members clustering near 26–28 °C under southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Key variables include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, daytime insolation as high pressure builds, and boundary-layer mixing that could either enhance or suppress peak readings depending on wind speed and residual moisture. Historical September climatology places average highs near 20–22 °C, so current conditions represent a positive anomaly driven by the evolving synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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