**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by a northwest airflow behind a weakening frontal system and increasing high pressure.** Westerly to northwesterly winds of 25–30 km/h, combined with variable cloud cover and light shower chances (20–30% probability), are limiting daytime heating and keeping the air mass cooler than earlier in the week. Hourly model guidance, including runs showing peaks near 18–19°C by mid-afternoon, aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (43.5%) and 18°C (30%). Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C, though stronger consensus favors the 18–19°C range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological briefings expected later on September 5 will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 6 de setembro?
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 17%
17°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
17%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 17%
17°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$299 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
3%
17°C
$84 Vol.
5%
18°C
$506 Vol.
32%
19°C
$209 Vol.
44%
20°C
$527 Vol.
17%
21°C
$88 Vol.
5%
22°C
$54 Vol.
2%
23°C
$138 Vol.
1%
24°C ou mais
$713 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by a northwest airflow behind a weakening frontal system and increasing high pressure.** Westerly to northwesterly winds of 25–30 km/h, combined with variable cloud cover and light shower chances (20–30% probability), are limiting daytime heating and keeping the air mass cooler than earlier in the week. Hourly model guidance, including runs showing peaks near 18–19°C by mid-afternoon, aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (43.5%) and 18°C (30%). Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C, though stronger consensus favors the 18–19°C range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological briefings expected later on September 5 will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,618Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by a northwest airflow behind a weakening frontal system and increasing high pressure.** Westerly to northwesterly winds of 25–30 km/h, combined with variable cloud cover and light shower chances (20–30% probability), are limiting daytime heating and keeping the air mass cooler than earlier in the week. Hourly model guidance, including runs showing peaks near 18–19°C by mid-afternoon, aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (43.5%) and 18°C (30%). Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C, though stronger consensus favors the 18–19°C range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological briefings expected later on September 5 will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,618Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Warsaw on September 6, driven by a northwest airflow behind a weakening frontal system and increasing high pressure.** Westerly to northwesterly winds of 25–30 km/h, combined with variable cloud cover and light shower chances (20–30% probability), are limiting daytime heating and keeping the air mass cooler than earlier in the week. Hourly model guidance, including runs showing peaks near 18–19°C by mid-afternoon, aligns closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 19°C (43.5%) and 18°C (30%). Minor uncertainties remain around exact cloud timing and any brief clearing that could allow a brief push toward 20°C, though stronger consensus favors the 18–19°C range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological briefings expected later on September 5 will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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