**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome and reflects typical mid-winter climatology, where long-term August daily highs average 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have raised overnight minima without introducing stronger warming or cooling influences such as cold fronts or blocking highs that would push readings outside the narrow 14–16°C range. Official observations from agencies like NIWA and MetService, combined with real-time station data, provide the authoritative benchmark for resolution and explain why trader consensus has converged so tightly. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day model revision or measurement anomaly at the official recording site, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de agosto?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,528 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,558 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,723 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,698 Vol.
100%
16°C
$11,571 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,736 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$2,084 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome and reflects typical mid-winter climatology, where long-term August daily highs average 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have raised overnight minima without introducing stronger warming or cooling influences such as cold fronts or blocking highs that would push readings outside the narrow 14–16°C range.
Official observations from agencies like NIWA and MetService, combined with real-time station data, provide the authoritative benchmark for resolution and explain why trader consensus has converged so tightly. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day model revision or measurement anomaly at the official recording site, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$47,555Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome and reflects typical mid-winter climatology, where long-term August daily highs average 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have raised overnight minima without introducing stronger warming or cooling influences such as cold fronts or blocking highs that would push readings outside the narrow 14–16°C range.
Official observations from agencies like NIWA and MetService, combined with real-time station data, provide the authoritative benchmark for resolution and explain why trader consensus has converged so tightly. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day model revision or measurement anomaly at the official recording site, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,555Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and international sources project a maximum of 15°C in Wellington on August 13 under partly cloudy conditions with moderate northerly flow.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome and reflects typical mid-winter climatology, where long-term August daily highs average 12–15°C. Recent northerly shifts have raised overnight minima without introducing stronger warming or cooling influences such as cold fronts or blocking highs that would push readings outside the narrow 14–16°C range. Official observations from agencies like NIWA and MetService, combined with real-time station data, provide the authoritative benchmark for resolution and explain why trader consensus has converged so tightly. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day model revision or measurement anomaly at the official recording site, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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