Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are supporting peak temperatures in Zhengzhou near 31°C on September 4, consistent with multiple forecast models showing highs of 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact diurnal warming rates and measurement timing at official stations, while the 20% implied probability for 32°C or higher accounts for potential model underestimation of surface heating on sunny days. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but current conditions lack cooling influences like stronger winds or moisture that could cap the high below 30°C. Updated observational data and final station readings will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 4 de setembro?
30°C 35%
32°C ou mais 25%
31°C 23%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
35%
31°C
36%
32°C ou mais
16%
30°C 35%
32°C ou mais 25%
31°C 23%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$267 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$48 Vol.
1%
27°C
$39 Vol.
2%
28°C
$62 Vol.
6%
29°C
$19 Vol.
10%
30°C
$11 Vol.
35%
31°C
$17 Vol.
36%
32°C ou mais
$28 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are supporting peak temperatures in Zhengzhou near 31°C on September 4, consistent with multiple forecast models showing highs of 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact diurnal warming rates and measurement timing at official stations, while the 20% implied probability for 32°C or higher accounts for potential model underestimation of surface heating on sunny days. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but current conditions lack cooling influences like stronger winds or moisture that could cap the high below 30°C. Updated observational data and final station readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,296Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are supporting peak temperatures in Zhengzhou near 31°C on September 4, consistent with multiple forecast models showing highs of 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact diurnal warming rates and measurement timing at official stations, while the 20% implied probability for 32°C or higher accounts for potential model underestimation of surface heating on sunny days. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but current conditions lack cooling influences like stronger winds or moisture that could cap the high below 30°C. Updated observational data and final station readings will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,296Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northeast winds under stable high pressure are supporting peak temperatures in Zhengzhou near 31°C on September 4, consistent with multiple forecast models showing highs of 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. The near-even market split between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact diurnal warming rates and measurement timing at official stations, while the 20% implied probability for 32°C or higher accounts for potential model underestimation of surface heating on sunny days. Historical September averages around 28–30°C provide context, but current conditions lack cooling influences like stronger winds or moisture that could cap the high below 30°C. Updated observational data and final station readings will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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