Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a warm, mostly sunny September 7 in Zhengzhou with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 31–33°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 62.5% implied probability on 32°C or higher, as current conditions and short-range guidance show minimal cooling influence before a frontal shift arrives the following day. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide context for the elevated readings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution, with only modest probability assigned to outcomes below 31°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 7 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Zhengzhou em 7 de setembro?
32°C ou mais 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 11%
29°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
22%
32°C ou mais
63%
32°C ou mais 39%
31°C 36%
30°C 11%
29°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
7 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$59 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
1%
26°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$37 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$10 Vol.
11%
31°C
$47 Vol.
22%
32°C ou mais
$132 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a warm, mostly sunny September 7 in Zhengzhou with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 31–33°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 62.5% implied probability on 32°C or higher, as current conditions and short-range guidance show minimal cooling influence before a frontal shift arrives the following day. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide context for the elevated readings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution, with only modest probability assigned to outcomes below 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$483Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a warm, mostly sunny September 7 in Zhengzhou with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 31–33°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 62.5% implied probability on 32°C or higher, as current conditions and short-range guidance show minimal cooling influence before a frontal shift arrives the following day. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide context for the elevated readings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution, with only modest probability assigned to outcomes below 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$483Data de Término
7 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a warm, mostly sunny September 7 in Zhengzhou with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 31–33°C. This aligns with the market’s leading 62.5% implied probability on 32°C or higher, as current conditions and short-range guidance show minimal cooling influence before a frontal shift arrives the following day. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide context for the elevated readings, while low precipitation chances reduce evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution, with only modest probability assigned to outcomes below 31°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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