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How long will ICEMAN be?

icon for How long will ICEMAN be?

How long will ICEMAN be?

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

60 - 70 minutes 100.0%

<30 minutes <1%

30 - 40 minutes <1%

40 - 50 minutes <1%

Polymarket

$16,810 Vol.

<30 minutes

$14,921 Vol.

No

30 - 40 minutes

$1,148 Vol.

No

40 - 50 minutes

$85 Vol.

No

50 - 60 minutes

$56 Vol.

No

60 - 70 minutes

$175 Vol.

Yes

70 - 80 minutes

$185 Vol.

No

80 - 90 minutes

$88 Vol.

No

90+ minutes

$152 Vol.

No

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volume
$16,810
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ICEMAN's runtime falling in the 60-70 minute range at 65% implied probability, driven by Drake's official tracklist reveal earlier this week confirming 18 songs for the ninth studio album, released today via OVO Sound and Republic Records alongside companion projects Habibti and Maid of Honour. With typical Drake track lengths averaging 3:30-4:00 minutes—mirroring For All the Dogs' 23-track, 55-minute structure but adjusted for fewer songs—traders anticipate a tight 68-minute total, positioning 50-60 minutes (45.5%) as the nearest rival amid debates over intros, skits, or extended outros. The 80-90 minute (41.5%) and 90+ (40.5%) buckets reflect lingering speculation from pre-release rumors of 20-26 tracks by DJ Akademiks, though the confirmed count has solidified shorter-run momentum. Market resolution hinges on official streaming platform metrics like Spotify's total duration post-release.

Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'.

The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full.

Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.
Volume
$16,810
Data de Término
15 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 23, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Drake is expected to release his new album 'ICEMAN' in 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of 'ICEMAN'. The album length will be measured from the start of the first song to the end of the final song on the album once it is officially released in full. Officially released means that 'ICEMAN' is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the 'ICEMAN' project will count, regardless of potential name changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If 'ICEMAN' is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify. If these sources disagree, this market will resolve solely based on the length of the album as released on Spotify.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How long will ICEMAN be?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60 - 70 minutes" at 100%, followed by "<30 minutes" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How long will ICEMAN be?" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How long will ICEMAN be?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How long will ICEMAN be?" is "60 - 70 minutes" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<30 minutes" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How long will ICEMAN be?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.