Official records from the New York City medical examiner and subsequent federal reviews, including DOJ and FBI analyses released through 2026, have consistently ruled Jeffrey Epstein’s August 2019 death a suicide by hanging, with autopsy details, cell footage, and post-mortem images reinforcing that determination. Recent file disclosures and a detailed New York Times investigation have uncovered prior suicide attempts and institutional lapses but produced no evidence contradicting the official cause or suggesting survival. Traders assign 97.7% probability to “No” because exhaustive probes over seven years have yielded no credible sightings, DNA matches, or authenticated documentation of Epstein alive. Only newly verified forensic evidence, an official government confirmation, or live authenticated footage emerging before 2027 could alter the outcome.