Traders assign overwhelming probability to no prison sentence for James Comey by December 31, 2026, because the pending North Carolina federal case remains at the pretrial stage with active motions to dismiss on First Amendment grounds, claims of selective prosecution, and alleged investigative irregularities. The April 2026 indictment stems from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors characterized as a threat against President Trump; arraignment is set for late September and trial for October. Prior Virginia charges were dismissed in 2025, and standard federal timelines for conviction, presentencing reports, and appeals make a 2026 sentencing date improbable even after a trial outcome. Scenarios that could alter this assessment include unusually rapid denial of all defense motions, an accelerated plea agreement, or extraordinary procedural developments before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
3% chance
$158,089 Vol.
$158,089 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
3% chance
$158,089 Vol.
$158,089 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign overwhelming probability to no prison sentence for James Comey by December 31, 2026, because the pending North Carolina federal case remains at the pretrial stage with active motions to dismiss on First Amendment grounds, claims of selective prosecution, and alleged investigative irregularities. The April 2026 indictment stems from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors characterized as a threat against President Trump; arraignment is set for late September and trial for October. Prior Virginia charges were dismissed in 2025, and standard federal timelines for conviction, presentencing reports, and appeals make a 2026 sentencing date improbable even after a trial outcome. Scenarios that could alter this assessment include unusually rapid denial of all defense motions, an accelerated plea agreement, or extraordinary procedural developments before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Volume
$158,089Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign overwhelming probability to no prison sentence for James Comey by December 31, 2026, because the pending North Carolina federal case remains at the pretrial stage with active motions to dismiss on First Amendment grounds, claims of selective prosecution, and alleged investigative irregularities. The April 2026 indictment stems from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors characterized as a threat against President Trump; arraignment is set for late September and trial for October. Prior Virginia charges were dismissed in 2025, and standard federal timelines for conviction, presentencing reports, and appeals make a 2026 sentencing date improbable even after a trial outcome. Scenarios that could alter this assessment include unusually rapid denial of all defense motions, an accelerated plea agreement, or extraordinary procedural developments before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI director James Comey is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Comey is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against James Comey for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$158,089Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign overwhelming probability to no prison sentence for James Comey by December 31, 2026, because the pending North Carolina federal case remains at the pretrial stage with active motions to dismiss on First Amendment grounds, claims of selective prosecution, and alleged investigative irregularities. The April 2026 indictment stems from a 2025 Instagram post of seashells arranged as “86 47,” which prosecutors characterized as a threat against President Trump; arraignment is set for late September and trial for October. Prior Virginia charges were dismissed in 2025, and standard federal timelines for conviction, presentencing reports, and appeals make a 2026 sentencing date improbable even after a trial outcome. Scenarios that could alter this assessment include unusually rapid denial of all defense motions, an accelerated plea agreement, or extraordinary procedural developments before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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