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Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

icon for Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?
Economia·Negócios

Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

NVIDIA 64%

Alphabet 21%

Apple 7.4%

SpaceX 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,752,229 Vol.

NVIDIA 64%

Alphabet 21%

Apple 7.4%

SpaceX 2.1%

Polymarket

$2,752,229 Vol.

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$524,022 Vol.

64%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$271,128 Vol.

21%

icon for Apple

Apple

$298,556 Vol.

7%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$170,929 Vol.

2%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$499,666 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$349,740 Vol.

1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$322,713 Vol.

1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$315,476 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI chip market, fueled by surging data center demand and robust Q1 2026 earnings that beat analyst estimates, underpins its 63.5% implied probability of ending 2026 as the world's largest company by market capitalization. Traders are pricing in sustained revenue growth from its GPU dominance amid expanding enterprise AI adoption, while Alphabet at 21.0% reflects steady progress in Google Cloud and AI integrations but faces slower hardware-scale momentum. Apple's 7.0% share and lower odds for Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon highlight their more diversified but less explosive growth profiles relative to NVIDIA's specialized edge. Market-implied odds also incorporate broader factors like Treasury yield movements and sector rotation, with upcoming Q2 earnings and potential Fed policy shifts as key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,752,229
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI chip market, fueled by surging data center demand and robust Q1 2026 earnings that beat analyst estimates, underpins its 63.5% implied probability of ending 2026 as the world's largest company by market capitalization. Traders are pricing in sustained revenue growth from its GPU dominance amid expanding enterprise AI adoption, while Alphabet at 21.0% reflects steady progress in Google Cloud and AI integrations but faces slower hardware-scale momentum. Apple's 7.0% share and lower odds for Microsoft, Tesla, and Amazon highlight their more diversified but less explosive growth profiles relative to NVIDIA's specialized edge. Market-implied odds also incorporate broader factors like Treasury yield movements and sector rotation, with upcoming Q2 earnings and potential Fed policy shifts as key near-term catalysts that could adjust these probabilities.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,752,229
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "NVIDIA" at 64%, followed by "Alphabet" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" has generated $2.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" is "NVIDIA" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maior empresa no final de dezembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.