**New York’s July 2026 executive order establishing the first statewide pause on permits for data centers 50 MW and larger has anchored trader sentiment, but the 68.8% implied probability for “Yes” by year-end also reflects sustained local momentum and pending state legislation.** Hundreds of municipal and county moratoriums or pauses have passed across more than 40 states in 2026—roughly four times the 2025 total—driven by concerns over grid strain, electricity rate increases, and water consumption tied to AI hyperscale facilities. Multiple legislatures continue to consider statewide measures, with bills active or recently advanced in states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Virginia, while Texas and others have imposed targeted grid-connection restrictions. Traders appear to weigh the precedent and volume of local action against the possibility that additional states may not complete enactment before December 31, creating a closely contested but majority “Yes” consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlgum estado promulgará uma moratória de data center até 31 de dezembro?
Sim
Sim
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**New York’s July 2026 executive order establishing the first statewide pause on permits for data centers 50 MW and larger has anchored trader sentiment, but the 68.8% implied probability for “Yes” by year-end also reflects sustained local momentum and pending state legislation.** Hundreds of municipal and county moratoriums or pauses have passed across more than 40 states in 2026—roughly four times the 2025 total—driven by concerns over grid strain, electricity rate increases, and water consumption tied to AI hyperscale facilities. Multiple legislatures continue to consider statewide measures, with bills active or recently advanced in states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Virginia, while Texas and others have imposed targeted grid-connection restrictions. Traders appear to weigh the precedent and volume of local action against the possibility that additional states may not complete enactment before December 31, creating a closely contested but majority “Yes” consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions