President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election after the prior administration’s failed martial law declaration and impeachment. As sitting president through 2030, his five pending trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been indefinitely suspended by the courts, with resumption expected only after his term concludes. No new indictments or legislative overrides have surfaced in 2026 to alter this arrangement before year-end. His Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and high approval ratings near 60 percent after recent local election gains, reinforcing institutional protections against arrest proceedings. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLee Jae-myung preso antes de 2027?
Lee Jae-myung preso antes de 2027?
Sim
8% chance
$537,986 Vol.
$537,986 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
8% chance
$537,986 Vol.
$537,986 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election after the prior administration’s failed martial law declaration and impeachment. As sitting president through 2030, his five pending trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been indefinitely suspended by the courts, with resumption expected only after his term concludes. No new indictments or legislative overrides have surfaced in 2026 to alter this arrangement before year-end. His Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and high approval ratings near 60 percent after recent local election gains, reinforcing institutional protections against arrest proceedings. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$537,986Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election after the prior administration’s failed martial law declaration and impeachment. As sitting president through 2030, his five pending trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been indefinitely suspended by the courts, with resumption expected only after his term concludes. No new indictments or legislative overrides have surfaced in 2026 to alter this arrangement before year-end. His Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and high approval ratings near 60 percent after recent local election gains, reinforcing institutional protections against arrest proceedings. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$537,986Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election after the prior administration’s failed martial law declaration and impeachment. As sitting president through 2030, his five pending trials on election-law violations and corruption allegations from his earlier roles as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor have been indefinitely suspended by the courts, with resumption expected only after his term concludes. No new indictments or legislative overrides have surfaced in 2026 to alter this arrangement before year-end. His Democratic Party maintains a strong legislative position and high approval ratings near 60 percent after recent local election gains, reinforcing institutional protections against arrest proceedings. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring no arrest before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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