Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local European guidance indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 4, with minimum temperatures likely in the 14–16°C range amid southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors limit radiative cooling and support the market's clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, while the elevated share for 22°C or higher reflects potential for warmer advection if the frontal passage delays. The 12°C or below outcome gains traction from historical averages near 11.9°C and any stronger post-frontal clearing. Traders weigh ensemble spread in wind and precipitation timing ahead of next model updates, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or timing can alter the daily minimum by 2–3°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 4 de setembro?
22°C ou mais 69%
12°C ou menos 53%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
12°C ou menos
53%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
45%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
49%
19°C
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
69%
22°C ou mais 69%
12°C ou menos 53%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
53%
13°C
$0 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
45%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local European guidance indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 4, with minimum temperatures likely in the 14–16°C range amid southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors limit radiative cooling and support the market's clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, while the elevated share for 22°C or higher reflects potential for warmer advection if the frontal passage delays. The 12°C or below outcome gains traction from historical averages near 11.9°C and any stronger post-frontal clearing. Traders weigh ensemble spread in wind and precipitation timing ahead of next model updates, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or timing can alter the daily minimum by 2–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local European guidance indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 4, with minimum temperatures likely in the 14–16°C range amid southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors limit radiative cooling and support the market's clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, while the elevated share for 22°C or higher reflects potential for warmer advection if the frontal passage delays. The 12°C or below outcome gains traction from historical averages near 11.9°C and any stronger post-frontal clearing. Traders weigh ensemble spread in wind and precipitation timing ahead of next model updates, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or timing can alter the daily minimum by 2–3°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local European guidance indicate mild overnight conditions for Amsterdam on September 4, with minimum temperatures likely in the 14–16°C range amid southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers. These factors limit radiative cooling and support the market's clustered probabilities near 15–17°C, while the elevated share for 22°C or higher reflects potential for warmer advection if the frontal passage delays. The 12°C or below outcome gains traction from historical averages near 11.9°C and any stronger post-frontal clearing. Traders weigh ensemble spread in wind and precipitation timing ahead of next model updates, as small shifts in boundary layer moisture or timing can alter the daily minimum by 2–3°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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