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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?

12°C ou mais 59%

9°C 50%

6°C 28%

4°C 27%

Polymarket
NOVO

12°C ou mais 59%

9°C 50%

6°C 28%

4°C 27%

Polymarket
NOVO

2°C ou menos

$135 Vol.

1%

3°C

$34 Vol.

24%

4°C

$0 Vol.

27%

5°C

$0 Vol.

27%

6°C

$0 Vol.

28%

7°C

$0 Vol.

27%

8°C

$0 Vol.

26%

9°C

$85 Vol.

50%

10°C

$145 Vol.

1%

11°C

$140 Vol.

12%

12°C ou mais

$150 Vol.

59%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and The Weather Channel indicate a low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, under partly cloudy or sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This follows an anomalous 0°C minimum on August 22 driven by a polar air mass intrusion. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-equal implied probabilities clustering around 5–7°C versus 12°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on the pace of warming and boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, the moderating influence of the Río de la Plata maritime air, and steering patterns that could either sustain or erode residual cold advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on wind and cloud trends will likely refine these brackets before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$689
Data de Término
25 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and The Weather Channel indicate a low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, under partly cloudy or sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This follows an anomalous 0°C minimum on August 22 driven by a polar air mass intrusion. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-equal implied probabilities clustering around 5–7°C versus 12°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on the pace of warming and boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, the moderating influence of the Río de la Plata maritime air, and steering patterns that could either sustain or erode residual cold advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on wind and cloud trends will likely refine these brackets before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$689
Data de Término
25 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12°C ou mais" at 30%, followed by "6°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?" is "12°C ou mais" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.