Recent forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and The Weather Channel indicate a low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, under partly cloudy or sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This follows an anomalous 0°C minimum on August 22 driven by a polar air mass intrusion. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-equal implied probabilities clustering around 5–7°C versus 12°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on the pace of warming and boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, the moderating influence of the Río de la Plata maritime air, and steering patterns that could either sustain or erode residual cold advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on wind and cloud trends will likely refine these brackets before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 25 de agosto?
12°C ou mais 59%
9°C 50%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
2°C ou menos
1%
3°C
24%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
50%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C ou mais
59%
12°C ou mais 59%
9°C 50%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
2°C ou menos
1%
3°C
24%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
50%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C ou mais
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like BBC Weather and The Weather Channel indicate a low near 11°C for Buenos Aires on August 25, 2026, under partly cloudy or sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds. This follows an anomalous 0°C minimum on August 22 driven by a polar air mass intrusion. Trader sentiment remains split, with near-equal implied probabilities clustering around 5–7°C versus 12°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in model consensus on the pace of warming and boundary-layer mixing. Key differentiators include nocturnal radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, the moderating influence of the Río de la Plata maritime air, and steering patterns that could either sustain or erode residual cold advection. Updated NHC or local meteorological service guidance on wind and cloud trends will likely refine these brackets before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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