Recent forecasts from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 26, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in overnight lows, as heavier rain and thicker clouds suppress temperature drops while clearer intervals allow modest cooling toward the mid-20s. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this narrow scientific range, with historical late-August baselines of 23–26°C lows providing context amid ongoing monsoon influences and model agreement on minimal deviation. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chengdu em 26 de agosto?
26°C 37%
27°C 30%
25°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
37%
27°C
30%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 37%
27°C 30%
25°C 29%
22°C 29%
20°C or below
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
29%
23°C
29%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
37%
27°C
30%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Chengdu Meteorological Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on August 26, driven by persistent high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling in the Sichuan Basin. Thunderstorm timing and intensity introduce variability in overnight lows, as heavier rain and thicker clouds suppress temperature drops while clearer intervals allow modest cooling toward the mid-20s. Trader consensus around 25–27°C reflects this narrow scientific range, with historical late-August baselines of 23–26°C lows providing context amid ongoing monsoon influences and model agreement on minimal deviation. Updated NHC-style regional guidance and local observations in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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