Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 26 will most likely range from 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and limited precipitation or cold-air advection in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and urban heat retention further moderate radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier or windier conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds around 26–28°C captures remaining uncertainty from model ensemble spread and local microclimate variations, with new CMA and ECMWF runs expected to tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 26 de agosto?
32°C or higher 49%
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
9%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
37%
29°C
28%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
49%
32°C or higher 49%
28°C 37%
29°C 28%
27°C 27%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
9%
25°C
20%
26°C
22%
27°C
27%
28°C
37%
29°C
28%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate overnight lows in Chongqing on August 26 will most likely range from 27–29°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover overnight, and limited precipitation or cold-air advection in the Sichuan Basin. High humidity and urban heat retention further moderate radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated relative to drier or windier conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched market-implied odds around 26–28°C captures remaining uncertainty from model ensemble spread and local microclimate variations, with new CMA and ECMWF runs expected to tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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