Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 20 de setembro?
28°C 99.5%
21°C ou menos 93%
26°C 92%
24°C 10%
$452 Vol.
$452 Vol.
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
28°C 99.5%
21°C ou menos 93%
26°C 92%
24°C 10%
$452 Vol.
$452 Vol.
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
Não
22°C
$16 Vol.
Não
23°C
$0 Vol.
Não
24°C
$0 Vol.
Não
25°C
$15 Vol.
Não
26°C
$63 Vol.
Não
27°C
$73 Vol.
Não
28°C
$213 Vol.
Sim
29°C
$31 Vol.
Não
30°C
$16 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$452Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$452Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Guangzhou's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 27–28°C amid persistent warm, humid subtropical air and light southerly winds with limited radiational cooling. Scattered thunderstorms and high dew points around 24–26°C are suppressing sharper temperature drops, aligning with the market's strong 54% implied probability on 28°C. Historical September averages near 24°C reflect cooler baselines, yet current conditions lack the typical post-typhoon or frontal influences that could push readings toward 25°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting the latest model consensus and real-time observations heavily, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions