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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?

set 1

set 2

set 3

set 1

set 2

set 3

26°C 47%

25°C 30%

24°C 14%

29°C 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

26°C 47%

25°C 30%

24°C 14%

29°C 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

21°C or below

$299 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$487 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$294 Vol.

5%

24°C

$287 Vol.

14%

25°C

$259 Vol.

30%

26°C

$607 Vol.

47%

27°C

$404 Vol.

7%

28°C

$120 Vol.

4%

29°C

$40 Vol.

7%

30°C

$25 Vol.

7%

31°C or higher

$324 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models place the September 2 overnight low near 25–26°C, driving the market's leading 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (30%) outcomes. Persistent northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limit radiational cooling under humid conditions typical of early September. Climatological normals show average lows of 24.7°C, yet recent model runs reflect slightly elevated minima due to moisture advection from nearby low-pressure systems. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or heavier rainfall overnight, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,145
Data de Término
2 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models place the September 2 overnight low near 25–26°C, driving the market's leading 26°C (47.5%) and 25°C (30%) outcomes. Persistent northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered showers, limit radiational cooling under humid conditions typical of early September. Climatological normals show average lows of 24.7°C, yet recent model runs reflect slightly elevated minima due to moisture advection from nearby low-pressure systems. Resolution hinges on the precise timing of any clearing or heavier rainfall overnight, with updates from official monitoring expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,145
Data de Término
2 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 47%, followed by "25°C" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?" is "26°C" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25°C" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 2 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.