Recent forecasts from sources including the National Center for Meteorology and Met Office indicate minimum temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 30–32°C, driven by above-normal seasonal warmth across Saudi Arabia and typical Red Sea coastal humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model consensus shows stable high-pressure patterns with light winds, maintaining elevated dew points near 23–25°C and preventing sharper drops. Historical August averages near 27–28°C contrast with current outlooks trending 2–4°C warmer, narrowing odds around 31–32°C while leaving room for minor model revisions from updated runs. The market’s clustered probabilities reflect this short-term uncertainty two days before resolution, with traders weighting official guidance on thermal inertia and lack of cooling advection.