**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models position a minimum temperature near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 20, 2026, driving the 48% market-implied probability on 26°C.** Persistent high humidity from the retreating monsoon, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover, restricts radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows elevated compared to drier post-monsoon periods. Recent IMD block-level guidance lists consistent minimums of 27°C across Lucknow districts, with maxima around 35°C, reflecting limited day-to-day variability in current steering patterns. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from potential localized thunderstorms, which could nudge readings slightly lower or sustain warmer nights if cloud cover increases. Historical September climatology supports typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, but current moisture and wind regimes favor the warmer side of that range. Traders appear to weigh these official measurements and short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the next forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Lucknow em 20 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 54%
31°C ou mais 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
54%
22°C
12%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
48%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
54%
21°C ou menos 54%
31°C ou mais 54%
26°C 48%
25°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
54%
22°C
$0 Vol.
12%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$28 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models position a minimum temperature near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 20, 2026, driving the 48% market-implied probability on 26°C.** Persistent high humidity from the retreating monsoon, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover, restricts radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows elevated compared to drier post-monsoon periods. Recent IMD block-level guidance lists consistent minimums of 27°C across Lucknow districts, with maxima around 35°C, reflecting limited day-to-day variability in current steering patterns. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from potential localized thunderstorms, which could nudge readings slightly lower or sustain warmer nights if cloud cover increases. Historical September climatology supports typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, but current moisture and wind regimes favor the warmer side of that range. Traders appear to weigh these official measurements and short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$28Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models position a minimum temperature near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 20, 2026, driving the 48% market-implied probability on 26°C.** Persistent high humidity from the retreating monsoon, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover, restricts radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows elevated compared to drier post-monsoon periods. Recent IMD block-level guidance lists consistent minimums of 27°C across Lucknow districts, with maxima around 35°C, reflecting limited day-to-day variability in current steering patterns. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from potential localized thunderstorms, which could nudge readings slightly lower or sustain warmer nights if cloud cover increases. Historical September climatology supports typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, but current moisture and wind regimes favor the warmer side of that range. Traders appear to weigh these official measurements and short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official India Meteorological Department forecasts and numerical weather models position a minimum temperature near 27°C as the most probable outcome for Lucknow on September 20, 2026, driving the 48% market-implied probability on 26°C.** Persistent high humidity from the retreating monsoon, combined with light easterly winds and variable cloud cover, restricts radiative cooling overnight and keeps lows elevated compared to drier post-monsoon periods. Recent IMD block-level guidance lists consistent minimums of 27°C across Lucknow districts, with maxima around 35°C, reflecting limited day-to-day variability in current steering patterns. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty from potential localized thunderstorms, which could nudge readings slightly lower or sustain warmer nights if cloud cover increases. Historical September climatology supports typical overnight lows in the mid-20s°C, but current moisture and wind regimes favor the warmer side of that range. Traders appear to weigh these official measurements and short-range model consensus most heavily ahead of the next forecast update.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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