Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Madrid’s minimum temperature on September 8 will likely reach 19°C overnight, following daytime highs near 35°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with a developing cooling trend after an unusually warm early September, when lows remained in the low-to-mid 20s amid persistent high pressure. Historical climatology places the September 8 average low near 16.7°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet well below recent values. Model consensus supports a minimum in the 18–21°C range, driving the elevated market-implied probability for 21°C or below while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C. Updated runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Madrid a 8 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 64%
22°C 49%
23°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
21°C ou menos
64%
22°C
49%
23°C
17%
24°C
1%
25°C
16%
26°C
16%
27°C
15%
28°C
15%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C ou mais
16%
21°C ou menos 64%
22°C 49%
23°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
64%
22°C
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Madrid’s minimum temperature on September 8 will likely reach 19°C overnight, following daytime highs near 35°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with a developing cooling trend after an unusually warm early September, when lows remained in the low-to-mid 20s amid persistent high pressure. Historical climatology places the September 8 average low near 16.7°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet well below recent values. Model consensus supports a minimum in the 18–21°C range, driving the elevated market-implied probability for 21°C or below while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C. Updated runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Madrid’s minimum temperature on September 8 will likely reach 19°C overnight, following daytime highs near 35°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with a developing cooling trend after an unusually warm early September, when lows remained in the low-to-mid 20s amid persistent high pressure. Historical climatology places the September 8 average low near 16.7°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet well below recent values. Model consensus supports a minimum in the 18–21°C range, driving the elevated market-implied probability for 21°C or below while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C. Updated runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate Madrid’s minimum temperature on September 8 will likely reach 19°C overnight, following daytime highs near 35°C under clear to partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with a developing cooling trend after an unusually warm early September, when lows remained in the low-to-mid 20s amid persistent high pressure. Historical climatology places the September 8 average low near 16.7°C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet well below recent values. Model consensus supports a minimum in the 18–21°C range, driving the elevated market-implied probability for 21°C or below while limiting odds for extremes above 30°C. Updated runs and any shifts in steering flow ahead of the date will refine these estimates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions