**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a daily minimum temperature near 80°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 78–81°F, where trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. High moisture content limits nocturnal temperature drops compared to drier conditions, while urban heat retention and the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream further anchor minima above the September climatological average of about 77°F. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine whether cloud cover or storm timing pushes the low toward the 78–79°F or 80–81°F bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 4 de setembro?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
73°F ou menos
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
8%
30°C-30,5°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 35%
82-83°F 16%
84-85°F 8%
73°F ou menos
2%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
8%
30°C-30,5°C
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a daily minimum temperature near 80°F for Miami on September 4, 2026, with overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s amid high humidity and a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering between 78–81°F, where trader consensus reflects uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southeast winds. High moisture content limits nocturnal temperature drops compared to drier conditions, while urban heat retention and the moderating influence of the Gulf Stream further anchor minima above the September climatological average of about 77°F. Upcoming model updates and real-time observations will refine whether cloud cover or storm timing pushes the low toward the 78–79°F or 80–81°F bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions