Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 26 de agosto?
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
20°C 49%
16°C 43%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
43%
22°C
43%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
14°C or below 63%
18°C 50%
20°C 49%
16°C 43%
14°C or below
63%
15°C
22%
16°C
43%
17°C
43%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
43%
22°C
43%
23°C
20%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 near 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. Recent cooling from August 21–23 thunderstorms (with a recorded low of 16.2°C) has given way to stabilization, reducing the chance of deeper drops. Key differentiators among close market outcomes include variable cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss, urban heat island effects, and slight model spreads in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Traders price the 14°C-or-below outcome at 31.5% amid lingering uncertainty ahead of final model runs, while mid-20s probabilities reflect consensus on typical late-August minima near 20°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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