Skip to main content
icon for New Half-Life game by...?

New Half-Life game by...?

icon for New Half-Life game by...?

New Half-Life game by...?

$18,150 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$18,150 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$5,985 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Rumors tying a new Half-Life title—often called HLX or Half-Life 3—to Valve’s early 2026 Steam Machine hardware launch have fueled trader interest, building on late-2025 leaks from dataminers like Gabe Follower and Tyler McVicker suggesting active development and a possible spring reveal. Valve’s pattern of using flagship releases to promote new platforms, combined with the company’s 30th anniversary timing, has kept momentum alive despite no official confirmation. Insiders continue to stress tempered expectations after past disappointments, while community hype persists around internal file activity and hardware synergy. Key upcoming catalysts include any post-hardware-announcement updates or The Game Awards timing, though Valve’s flat structure and secrecy make outcomes highly uncertain for resolution.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$18,150
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Rumors tying a new Half-Life title—often called HLX or Half-Life 3—to Valve’s early 2026 Steam Machine hardware launch have fueled trader interest, building on late-2025 leaks from dataminers like Gabe Follower and Tyler McVicker suggesting active development and a possible spring reveal. Valve’s pattern of using flagship releases to promote new platforms, combined with the company’s 30th anniversary timing, has kept momentum alive despite no official confirmation. Insiders continue to stress tempered expectations after past disappointments, while community hype persists around internal file activity and hardware synergy. Key upcoming catalysts include any post-hardware-announcement updates or The Game Awards timing, though Valve’s flat structure and secrecy make outcomes highly uncertain for resolution.

This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$18,150
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Half-Life game by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2026" at 1%, followed by "December 31, 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Half-Life game by...?" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Half-Life game by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "New Half-Life game by...?" is "June 30, 2026" at just 1%, with "December 31, 2025" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "New Half-Life game by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.