David Flippo holds an 86% implied probability in the NV-02 Republican primary as the leading contender to succeed retiring Representative Mark Amodei in the safely Republican district. His position stems from a late-May endorsement by President Trump, which consolidated support among base voters in a crowded 13-candidate field, combined with substantial fundraising that far exceeds rivals. Former state Senator James Settelmeyer, backed by Governor Joe Lombardo and Amodei, trails at 26% amid establishment alignment but faces headwinds from the Trump-aligned momentum. Minor candidates remain under 2% each, reflecting limited viability. Early vote reporting from the June 9 primary shows Flippo ahead, though final certification and any late shifts could still influence resolution. Trader consensus prices the race as increasingly decisive for Flippo following the endorsement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNV-02 Republican Primary Winner
David Flippo 93%
George Forbush 1.4%
Fred Simon 1.0%
James Settelmeyer 1%
$23,671 Vol.
$23,671 Vol.
David Flippo
86%
George Forbush
1%
Fred Simon
1%
James Settelmeyer
26%
Tom Doyle
1%
Rick Shepherd
1%
Sherman Tylawsky
<1%
Jennifer Billat
<1%
Jesse Watts
<1%
Bruce Grego
<1%
Jerry Olsen
<1%
Bill Conrad
<1%
Doug Miller
<1%
Andrea Lowe
<1%
Mike Smith
<1%
David Flippo 93%
George Forbush 1.4%
Fred Simon 1.0%
James Settelmeyer 1%
$23,671 Vol.
$23,671 Vol.
David Flippo
86%
George Forbush
1%
Fred Simon
1%
James Settelmeyer
26%
Tom Doyle
1%
Rick Shepherd
1%
Sherman Tylawsky
<1%
Jennifer Billat
<1%
Jesse Watts
<1%
Bruce Grego
<1%
Jerry Olsen
<1%
Bill Conrad
<1%
Doug Miller
<1%
Andrea Lowe
<1%
Mike Smith
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Flippo holds an 86% implied probability in the NV-02 Republican primary as the leading contender to succeed retiring Representative Mark Amodei in the safely Republican district. His position stems from a late-May endorsement by President Trump, which consolidated support among base voters in a crowded 13-candidate field, combined with substantial fundraising that far exceeds rivals. Former state Senator James Settelmeyer, backed by Governor Joe Lombardo and Amodei, trails at 26% amid establishment alignment but faces headwinds from the Trump-aligned momentum. Minor candidates remain under 2% each, reflecting limited viability. Early vote reporting from the June 9 primary shows Flippo ahead, though final certification and any late shifts could still influence resolution. Trader consensus prices the race as increasingly decisive for Flippo following the endorsement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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