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NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

NV-02 Republican Primary Winner

David Flippo 93%

George Forbush 1.4%

Fred Simon 1.0%

James Settelmeyer 1%

Polymarket

$23,671 Vol.

David Flippo 93%

George Forbush 1.4%

Fred Simon 1.0%

James Settelmeyer 1%

Polymarket

$23,671 Vol.

David Flippo

$6,732 Vol.

86%

George Forbush

$848 Vol.

1%

Fred Simon

$1,281 Vol.

1%

James Settelmeyer

$4,727 Vol.

26%

Tom Doyle

$1,457 Vol.

1%

Rick Shepherd

$849 Vol.

1%

Sherman Tylawsky

$885 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Billat

$1,097 Vol.

<1%

Jesse Watts

$819 Vol.

<1%

Bruce Grego

$690 Vol.

<1%

Jerry Olsen

$814 Vol.

<1%

Bill Conrad

$836 Vol.

<1%

Doug Miller

$786 Vol.

<1%

Andrea Lowe

$835 Vol.

<1%

Mike Smith

$1,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.David Flippo holds an 86% implied probability in the NV-02 Republican primary as the leading contender to succeed retiring Representative Mark Amodei in the safely Republican district. His position stems from a late-May endorsement by President Trump, which consolidated support among base voters in a crowded 13-candidate field, combined with substantial fundraising that far exceeds rivals. Former state Senator James Settelmeyer, backed by Governor Joe Lombardo and Amodei, trails at 26% amid establishment alignment but faces headwinds from the Trump-aligned momentum. Minor candidates remain under 2% each, reflecting limited viability. Early vote reporting from the June 9 primary shows Flippo ahead, though final certification and any late shifts could still influence resolution. Trader consensus prices the race as increasingly decisive for Flippo following the endorsement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,671
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.David Flippo holds an 86% implied probability in the NV-02 Republican primary as the leading contender to succeed retiring Representative Mark Amodei in the safely Republican district. His position stems from a late-May endorsement by President Trump, which consolidated support among base voters in a crowded 13-candidate field, combined with substantial fundraising that far exceeds rivals. Former state Senator James Settelmeyer, backed by Governor Joe Lombardo and Amodei, trails at 26% amid establishment alignment but faces headwinds from the Trump-aligned momentum. Minor candidates remain under 2% each, reflecting limited viability. Early vote reporting from the June 9 primary shows Flippo ahead, though final certification and any late shifts could still influence resolution. Trader consensus prices the race as increasingly decisive for Flippo following the endorsement.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$23,671
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 25, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Flippo" at 86%, followed by "James Settelmeyer" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" is "David Flippo" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Settelmeyer" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NV-02 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.