The short window remaining until the June 30, 2026 deadline, paired with the extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, underpins the 68.5% implied probability on “No.” These double-eagle shots—typically a holed second on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—occur fewer than once per season on average across the full schedule of events, despite thousands of rounds played annually by the world’s best players. With limited tournaments left in June and no recent albatrosses reported in 2026, the probability of one materializing in the final two weeks remains low absent an unusually favorable set of course conditions or pin placements that might slightly elevate the chance. Trader consensus therefore reflects the statistical infrequency rather than any specific player form, injury, or matchup dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$82 Vol.
$82 Vol.
1 jun 2026
Sim
$82 Vol.
$82 Vol.
1 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The short window remaining until the June 30, 2026 deadline, paired with the extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, underpins the 68.5% implied probability on “No.” These double-eagle shots—typically a holed second on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—occur fewer than once per season on average across the full schedule of events, despite thousands of rounds played annually by the world’s best players. With limited tournaments left in June and no recent albatrosses reported in 2026, the probability of one materializing in the final two weeks remains low absent an unusually favorable set of course conditions or pin placements that might slightly elevate the chance. Trader consensus therefore reflects the statistical infrequency rather than any specific player form, injury, or matchup dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$82Data de Término
1 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The short window remaining until the June 30, 2026 deadline, paired with the extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, underpins the 68.5% implied probability on “No.” These double-eagle shots—typically a holed second on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—occur fewer than once per season on average across the full schedule of events, despite thousands of rounds played annually by the world’s best players. With limited tournaments left in June and no recent albatrosses reported in 2026, the probability of one materializing in the final two weeks remains low absent an unusually favorable set of course conditions or pin placements that might slightly elevate the chance. Trader consensus therefore reflects the statistical infrequency rather than any specific player form, injury, or matchup dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any player records an albatross during any main tournament round of any PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship (Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, The Open Championship) before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only main tournament rounds will be considered. No Par 3, practice round, or any other form of play that is not officially scored as part of the main tournament rounds of applicable PGA Tour-sanctioned tournaments or major championship will count toward the resolution of this market.
If the 2026 PGA Tour or applicable majors tournaments are cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined if an albatross has been recorded during this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA Tour and/or the organizer of the applicable majors tournament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$82Data de Término
1 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The short window remaining until the June 30, 2026 deadline, paired with the extreme rarity of albatrosses on the PGA Tour, underpins the 68.5% implied probability on “No.” These double-eagle shots—typically a holed second on a par-5 or an ace on a par-4—occur fewer than once per season on average across the full schedule of events, despite thousands of rounds played annually by the world’s best players. With limited tournaments left in June and no recent albatrosses reported in 2026, the probability of one materializing in the final two weeks remains low absent an unusually favorable set of course conditions or pin placements that might slightly elevate the chance. Trader consensus therefore reflects the statistical infrequency rather than any specific player form, injury, or matchup dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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