Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4 percent endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review at the Calgary convention, following the 2025 federal election loss, in line with party rules requiring such a vote when the party fails to form government. This wide margin has anchored trader expectations that he will remain in place through the end of 2026. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding a double-digit lead nationally under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with Poilievre’s personal favorability remaining polarized, alongside isolated MP defections and private caucus concerns over strategy and electoral prospects. No formal challenge process or resignation signal has emerged, and the next scheduled convention falls outside the December 31 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
12% chance
$156,931 Vol.
$156,931 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
12% chance
$156,931 Vol.
$156,931 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4 percent endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review at the Calgary convention, following the 2025 federal election loss, in line with party rules requiring such a vote when the party fails to form government. This wide margin has anchored trader expectations that he will remain in place through the end of 2026. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding a double-digit lead nationally under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with Poilievre’s personal favorability remaining polarized, alongside isolated MP defections and private caucus concerns over strategy and electoral prospects. No formal challenge process or resignation signal has emerged, and the next scheduled convention falls outside the December 31 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$156,931Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4 percent endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review at the Calgary convention, following the 2025 federal election loss, in line with party rules requiring such a vote when the party fails to form government. This wide margin has anchored trader expectations that he will remain in place through the end of 2026. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding a double-digit lead nationally under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with Poilievre’s personal favorability remaining polarized, alongside isolated MP defections and private caucus concerns over strategy and electoral prospects. No formal challenge process or resignation signal has emerged, and the next scheduled convention falls outside the December 31 resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$156,931Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pierre Poilievre secured an 87.4 percent endorsement from Conservative Party delegates in the mandatory January 2026 leadership review at the Calgary convention, following the 2025 federal election loss, in line with party rules requiring such a vote when the party fails to form government. This wide margin has anchored trader expectations that he will remain in place through the end of 2026. Recent polling shows the Liberals holding a double-digit lead nationally under Prime Minister Mark Carney, with Poilievre’s personal favorability remaining polarized, alongside isolated MP defections and private caucus concerns over strategy and electoral prospects. No formal challenge process or resignation signal has emerged, and the next scheduled convention falls outside the December 31 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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