Doug Ford remains entrenched as Ontario PC leader and premier following the party's third consecutive majority win in the 2025 election. Recent controversies over a private jet purchase and MPP hotel expenses have driven his approval ratings to record lows and narrowed the PCs' polling lead, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford has publicly affirmed his intent to stay, and party structures show no organized challenge ahead of the December 31, 2026, horizon. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 87% reflects the absence of imminent pressure points, Ford's incumbency advantages, and historical patterns where Ontario PC leaders typically serve multiple terms absent acute internal crises.