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Política·Japão

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima
Política·Japão

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.6%

Kunihiko Hasenuma 1.5%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Masao Uchibori 94%

Yudai Endo 2.6%

Kunihiko Hasenuma 1.5%

Jun Kanayama <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Masao Uchibori

Masao Uchibori

$2,339 Vol.

94%

icon for Yudai Endo

Yudai Endo

$285 Vol.

3%

icon for Kunihiko Hasenuma

Kunihiko Hasenuma

$251 Vol.

2%

icon for Jun Kanayama

Jun Kanayama

$212 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the long-serving incumbent governor of Fukushima Prefecture, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the upcoming October 2026 gubernatorial election due to his established role overseeing post-2011 reconstruction priorities and steady policy continuity. Recent public statements from Uchibori in March 2026 emphasized advancing the next phase of recovery funding and regional revitalization, reinforcing perceptions of institutional stability ahead of the vote. In Japan's local elections, incumbents with comparable records on disaster recovery and economic initiatives have historically faced limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from the emergence of a high-profile challenger backed by major parties, unexpected developments in nuclear-related policy debates, or significant changes in prefectural economic conditions before ballots close.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$2,952
Data de Término
25 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).Masao Uchibori, the long-serving incumbent governor of Fukushima Prefecture, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the upcoming October 2026 gubernatorial election due to his established role overseeing post-2011 reconstruction priorities and steady policy continuity. Recent public statements from Uchibori in March 2026 emphasized advancing the next phase of recovery funding and regional revitalization, reinforcing perceptions of institutional stability ahead of the vote. In Japan's local elections, incumbents with comparable records on disaster recovery and economic initiatives have historically faced limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from the emergence of a high-profile challenger backed by major parties, unexpected developments in nuclear-related policy debates, or significant changes in prefectural economic conditions before ballots close.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).
Volume
$2,952
Data de Término
25 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 5:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Fukushima on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Fukushima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Fukushima and Japan, including the Fukushima Prefecture Election Management Committee (https://www.pref.fukushima.lg.jp/sec/62010a/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Masao Uchibori" at 94%, followed by "Yudai Endo" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima" is "Masao Uchibori" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yudai Endo" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Fukushima" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.