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icon for O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?

O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?

icon for O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?

O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?

Sim

15% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

15% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing legal fallout from Reckless Ben’s (Benjamin Schneider) Bricks & Minifigs Lego dispute continues to drive the tight 50.5% market on a July 31 arrest.** Prior March arrests on misdemeanor stalking, trespass, and disorderly conduct charges, plus a reported June no-bail warrant that prompted his claimed move to Mexico, keep enforcement risk elevated while police statements confirm no active warrants as of late May. Civil RICO filings, active restraining orders, and pending court motions create pathways for new violations or extradition triggers if Schneider resumes confrontational content or returns stateside. Recent fan attempts to modify the order and his paused coverage highlight the fluid situation, with any public reappearance or hearing outcome before the deadline likely to shift trader consensus decisively in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing legal fallout from Reckless Ben’s (Benjamin Schneider) Bricks & Minifigs Lego dispute continues to drive the tight 50.5% market on a July 31 arrest.** Prior March arrests on misdemeanor stalking, trespass, and disorderly conduct charges, plus a reported June no-bail warrant that prompted his claimed move to Mexico, keep enforcement risk elevated while police statements confirm no active warrants as of late May. Civil RICO filings, active restraining orders, and pending court motions create pathways for new violations or extradition triggers if Schneider resumes confrontational content or returns stateside. Recent fan attempts to modify the order and his paused coverage highlight the fluid situation, with any public reappearance or hearing outcome before the deadline likely to shift trader consensus decisively in either direction.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Reckless Ben (a.k.a. Benjamin Schneider) is arrested between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben Imprudente será preso até 31 de julho?" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?" is "Ben Imprudente será preso até 31 de julho?" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O imprudente Ben foi preso até 31 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.