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icon for O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

icon for O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?

$843,005 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$843,005 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$320,691 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Romania’s ongoing political deadlock keeps caretaker Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan in office three-plus months after his May 5, 2026 no-confidence defeat.** The PSD withdrew from his coalition in April over austerity measures and state-company reforms, then joined AUR to pass the motion 281–4. Subsequent presidential nominees (Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea) failed to secure the 233-vote majority needed, leaving Bolojan with limited powers as the longest-serving interim premier in post-communist Romania. As of late August 2026, Bolojan has repeatedly stated he is not clinging to power but must continue until Parliament approves a successor capable of delivering a full mandate. He has highlighted the urgent need for a budget rectification and full governmental authority once lawmakers return from recess on September 1. Parties are discussing minority or rotating arrangements involving PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR, yet no viable majority has emerged. A new government is required to unlock EU funds and address fiscal deadlines, keeping Bolojan’s tenure dependent on coalition negotiations that could extend or resolve quickly after the parliamentary session resumes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$843,005
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Romania’s ongoing political deadlock keeps caretaker Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan in office three-plus months after his May 5, 2026 no-confidence defeat.** The PSD withdrew from his coalition in April over austerity measures and state-company reforms, then joined AUR to pass the motion 281–4. Subsequent presidential nominees (Eugen Tomac and Adrian Veștea) failed to secure the 233-vote majority needed, leaving Bolojan with limited powers as the longest-serving interim premier in post-communist Romania. As of late August 2026, Bolojan has repeatedly stated he is not clinging to power but must continue until Parliament approves a successor capable of delivering a full mandate. He has highlighted the urgent need for a budget rectification and full governmental authority once lawmakers return from recess on September 1. Parties are discussing minority or rotating arrangements involving PSD, PNL, USR, and UDMR, yet no viable majority has emerged. A new government is required to unlock EU funds and address fiscal deadlines, keeping Bolojan’s tenure dependent on coalition negotiations that could extend or resolve quickly after the parliamentary session resumes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$843,005
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 91%, followed by "31 de maio" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" has generated $843K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de maio" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O primeiro-ministro romeno Bolojan saiu até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.