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icon for Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?
Política·Bolojan

Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?

icon for Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?
Política·Bolojan

Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$52,351 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$52,351 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romanian President Nicușor Dan is prioritizing rapid government formation after parliament's May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU minority coalition by a 281-4 margin, following the PSD's late-April withdrawal amid austerity disputes and budget pressures. Dan has ruled out snap elections—Romania's first ever, as polls are set for 2028—and plans consultations with parties like PSD and far-right AUR to nominate a new prime minister candidate for a parliamentary confidence vote next week. Per constitutional rules, dissolution requires two failed investiture attempts; trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects expectations of successful coalition negotiations or minority support, avoiding escalation amid EU fund deadlines and economic recession risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,351
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romanian President Nicușor Dan is prioritizing rapid government formation after parliament's May 5, 2026, no-confidence vote ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU minority coalition by a 281-4 margin, following the PSD's late-April withdrawal amid austerity disputes and budget pressures. Dan has ruled out snap elections—Romania's first ever, as polls are set for 2028—and plans consultations with parties like PSD and far-right AUR to nominate a new prime minister candidate for a parliamentary confidence vote next week. Per constitutional rules, dissolution requires two failed investiture attempts; trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects expectations of successful coalition negotiations or minority support, avoiding escalation amid EU fund deadlines and economic recession risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,351
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" is "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Parlamento romeno dissolvido até 31 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.