The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which surpassed Avengers: Endgame’s mark and exceeded even bullish pre-release tracking of $280–300 million, has anchored trader expectations for a final total by August 31 well above $900 million. Strong audience scores, franchise loyalty, and favorable summer positioning support a multiplier in the 2.5–3x range typical for tentpole superhero releases, placing the film on pace for a domestic gross comfortably in the $950 million–$1.1 billion band. With roughly four weeks of playtime remaining before the market resolves, any softening in daily holds or unexpected competition would need to be severe to drop the total below $900 million, a scenario the market currently prices at just over 20 percent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total bruto doméstico até 31 de agosto?
900M+ 77.9%
800 - 900 milhões 20%
700 - 800 milhões 3.0%
600 - 700 milhões 1.1%
$298,594 Vol.
$298,594 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
1%
500 - 600 milhões
1%
600 - 700 milhões
1%
700 - 800 milhões
3%
800 - 900 milhões
20%
900M+
78%
900M+ 77.9%
800 - 900 milhões 20%
700 - 800 milhões 3.0%
600 - 700 milhões 1.1%
$298,594 Vol.
$298,594 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 milhões
$5,823 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milhões
$15,762 Vol.
1%
500 - 600 milhões
$23,418 Vol.
1%
600 - 700 milhões
$23,334 Vol.
1%
700 - 800 milhões
$20,247 Vol.
3%
800 - 900 milhões
$28,089 Vol.
20%
900M+
$181,920 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which surpassed Avengers: Endgame’s mark and exceeded even bullish pre-release tracking of $280–300 million, has anchored trader expectations for a final total by August 31 well above $900 million. Strong audience scores, franchise loyalty, and favorable summer positioning support a multiplier in the 2.5–3x range typical for tentpole superhero releases, placing the film on pace for a domestic gross comfortably in the $950 million–$1.1 billion band. With roughly four weeks of playtime remaining before the market resolves, any softening in daily holds or unexpected competition would need to be severe to drop the total below $900 million, a scenario the market currently prices at just over 20 percent.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$298,594Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which surpassed Avengers: Endgame’s mark and exceeded even bullish pre-release tracking of $280–300 million, has anchored trader expectations for a final total by August 31 well above $900 million. Strong audience scores, franchise loyalty, and favorable summer positioning support a multiplier in the 2.5–3x range typical for tentpole superhero releases, placing the film on pace for a domestic gross comfortably in the $950 million–$1.1 billion band. With roughly four weeks of playtime remaining before the market resolves, any softening in daily holds or unexpected competition would need to be severe to drop the total below $900 million, a scenario the market currently prices at just over 20 percent.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$298,594Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend for “Spider-Man: Brand New Day,” which surpassed Avengers: Endgame’s mark and exceeded even bullish pre-release tracking of $280–300 million, has anchored trader expectations for a final total by August 31 well above $900 million. Strong audience scores, franchise loyalty, and favorable summer positioning support a multiplier in the 2.5–3x range typical for tentpole superhero releases, placing the film on pace for a domestic gross comfortably in the $950 million–$1.1 billion band. With roughly four weeks of playtime remaining before the market resolves, any softening in daily holds or unexpected competition would need to be severe to drop the total below $900 million, a scenario the market currently prices at just over 20 percent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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