Sudan's warring factions, the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces, continue intense clashes with no durable ceasefire in place as of mid-2026. The most recent major diplomatic development occurred in early August when army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held unannounced consultations with political and civil society figures to prepare conditions for a national dialogue conference offering temporary immunity protections. This followed a July U.S. proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce with limited withdrawals to enable aid access, which the RSF had previously signaled openness toward but which produced no verified breakthrough. Ongoing SAF drone operations, including a strike in Darfur, and competing mediation tracks involving the Quad powers, African Union, and IGAD have yet to yield enforceable agreements, underscoring barriers such as external arms flows and territorial control disputes that traders weigh against any near-term resolution prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
Cessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
$119,357 Vol.
30 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
12%
$119,357 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$14,818 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's warring factions, the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces, continue intense clashes with no durable ceasefire in place as of mid-2026. The most recent major diplomatic development occurred in early August when army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held unannounced consultations with political and civil society figures to prepare conditions for a national dialogue conference offering temporary immunity protections. This followed a July U.S. proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce with limited withdrawals to enable aid access, which the RSF had previously signaled openness toward but which produced no verified breakthrough. Ongoing SAF drone operations, including a strike in Darfur, and competing mediation tracks involving the Quad powers, African Union, and IGAD have yet to yield enforceable agreements, underscoring barriers such as external arms flows and territorial control disputes that traders weigh against any near-term resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$119,357Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's warring factions, the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces, continue intense clashes with no durable ceasefire in place as of mid-2026. The most recent major diplomatic development occurred in early August when army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held unannounced consultations with political and civil society figures to prepare conditions for a national dialogue conference offering temporary immunity protections. This followed a July U.S. proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce with limited withdrawals to enable aid access, which the RSF had previously signaled openness toward but which produced no verified breakthrough. Ongoing SAF drone operations, including a strike in Darfur, and competing mediation tracks involving the Quad powers, African Union, and IGAD have yet to yield enforceable agreements, underscoring barriers such as external arms flows and territorial control disputes that traders weigh against any near-term resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$119,357Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudan's warring factions, the Sudanese Armed Forces and Rapid Support Forces, continue intense clashes with no durable ceasefire in place as of mid-2026. The most recent major diplomatic development occurred in early August when army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan held unannounced consultations with political and civil society figures to prepare conditions for a national dialogue conference offering temporary immunity protections. This followed a July U.S. proposal for a 90-day humanitarian truce with limited withdrawals to enable aid access, which the RSF had previously signaled openness toward but which produced no verified breakthrough. Ongoing SAF drone operations, including a strike in Darfur, and competing mediation tracks involving the Quad powers, African Union, and IGAD have yet to yield enforceable agreements, underscoring barriers such as external arms flows and territorial control disputes that traders weigh against any near-term resolution prospects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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